Emerging Trends in Real Estate® is an annual series of trends and forecast publications that reflect the views of leading real estate executives in three global regions—Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific. Undertaken jointly with PwC and the Urban Land Institute, Emerging Trends in Real Estate® provides an outlook on real estate investment and development trends, real estate finance and capital markets, property sectors, metropolitan areas, and other real estate issues. The reports:
- Tell you what to expect and where the best opportunities are.
- Elaborate on trends in the capital markets, including sources and flows of equity and debt capital.
- Indicate which property sectors offer the best opportunities and which ones to avoid.
- Report how the economy and concerns about credit issues are affecting real estate.
- Discuss which metropolitan areas offer the most and least potential.
- Describe the impact of social and political trends on real estate.
- Explain how locational preferences are changing.
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Asia Pacific 2019
“Both in terms of rent and capital values around the region, we’re near the top of the cycle”
After nine years of relentless expansion, Asia’s real estate markets are facing rising headwinds. An impending trade war, rising interest rates, tighter access to credit, and buyer fatigue at sky-high prices for both commercial and residential properties are causing investors to question whether the long bull cycle may be reaching its peak: “The market’s wobbling like a jelly on a plate,” as one investor put it. “We’re at historic highs across the board.”
That said, market fundamentals in 2018 remain robust. Transactions for the year are at record levels and pricing is strong, sustained by ever-growing volumes of institutional capital piling up in Asia’s biggest economies.
For now, then, the music continues, and although some investors are looking to sell down their holdings and reposition, the sheer weight of capital looking to find a home in real estate means that prices may not fall significantly even if other indicators turn south.
As a result, and as in previous years, investors must consider more varied strategies than in the past to get money into the market.
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Asia Pacific 2018
This year’s investment prospect rankings reflect the growing divergence between investment strategies as buyers pursue either growth- or yield-driven approaches. Cities that are the biggest gainers in this year’s survey are those where investors seek to maximize returns via rental growth (Sydney and Melbourne), those that look for returns that are safe and low, but still higher than yields on sovereign bonds (Tokyo), or those that tap long-term secular growth in emerging markets (Vietnam). In addition, there was a resurgence in investor sentiment toward Singapore, which appears to have found a market bottom in both the office and residential sectors.
In terms of prospects for individual property types, logistics assets take pole position this year, with investors showing renewed confidence in a story of long-term structural undersupply.
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Asia Pacific 2017
Industry Sees Fewer Transactions as Yields Continue to Slip
Whilst demand is strong in Asia Pacific, the supply of core product is thinner than ever. The low transaction volumes in the first six months of 2016 come as owners opt instead to refinance properties at lower rates instead of selling them. Yields are falling but looking forwards, while most investors see potential for some further compression – mainly as a result of the sheer weight of new capital being pointed at the sector – the trend may be reaching its limit.
Bangalore and Mumbai Ranked as Top Real Estate Investment Markets
Now in its 11th edition, this year’s Investment Prospects survey shows a strong shift away from last year’s favorites, which featured core markets in Japan and Australia. Instead it favors emerging-market destinations, with two Indian cities topping a list which also includes Vietnam and the Philippines. This overarching shift reflects the difficulty in sourcing core assets in an environment where owners have few other places to invest their capital if they sell, together with the growing urgency of investors’ ‘quest for yield’ as returns are squeezed ever lower.
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Asia Pacific 2016
Asia’s real estate markets are the product of almost eight years of easy money from the world’s central banks. Easing in the United States may have ended, but both Japan and the European Union continue to provide liquidity, while interest rates in many Asian countries are now lower than they were a year ago. With both local and global institutional investors also allocating more capital to the sector, the result is more money chasing fewer assets, pushing prices up across most markets and sectors even as the current cycle appears increasingly long in the tooth.
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Asia Pacific 2015
Real estate markets throughout Asia are expected to remain resilient despite weakening economic fundamentals throughout 2015, as capital continues to flow into the industry from a variety of investment sources, both domestic and international, according to Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Asia Pacific 2015, a real estate forecast jointly published by the Urban Land Institute (ULI) and PwC. Japan remains a favored country for real estate activity, with Tokyo and Osaka ranked first and third, respectively, in terms of investment and development prospects for next year.
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® – The Global outlook for 2015
The Emerging Trends in Real Estate© United States and Canada, Europe and Asia Pacific reports are produced annually by the Urban Land Institute and PwC following extensive surveys and interviews with the most senior property professionals. Over the years, these reports have become key indicators of sentiment in their respective regions.
We have drawn together those regional insights for 2015 in this global report, highlighting the most relevant investment and development trends.